September 4, 2009

Oil falls slightly on disappointing economic data

London Brent crude settled at US$67.12 a barrel, down 54 cents.
"Right now, there's not a whole lot of momentum here in either direction. I think the trend for the week, which has been down, is still in force," said Tom Bentz, senior commodity analyst, BNP Paribas commodity Futures Inc in New York.

U.S. jobless claims fell last week, according to a report released by the Department of Labor, but the prior week's figure was revised up.

The number of people collecting long-term unemployment benefits rose to 6.23 million in the week ended August 22, well above market expectations for 6.12 million.
Traders were also waiting for Friday's U.S. employment report for August to get a picture of how the labor market is faring as the economy recovers from recession.

A Reuters poll of analysts earlier this week showed U.S. employers likely cut jobs by the least amount in a year in August.
U.S. stocks edged up on Thursday on better-than-expected sales from retailers in August. .N

The Institute for Supply Management released a report showing that while the U.S. services sector shrank in August, an index measuring activity was at its highest in nearly a year.

Oil inventory data that indicated some demand recovery released by the U.S. government on Wednesday failed to push prices much higher.

Total crude oil product demand rose 0.1 percent during the past four weeks compared with year-ago levels and gasoline demand increased 0.5 percent during the same period.

"The question is what is going to be the major influence on the market going forward and if the demand growth from economic recovery has already been priced in," said Peter Beutel, analyst at Cameron Hanover in New Canaan, Connecticut.

Oil prices are not likely to break out of the confines of the current range in the short term, analysts said.

U.S. crude prices have been rangebound, between US$65 and US$75 a barrel since the start of August, fluctuating on the latest clues about the speed of an impending economic recovery.

"There isn't the structural tightness for the market to break out of this range," said Petromatrix analyst Olivier Jakob, pointing to brimming global distillates such as diesel stored on land and at sea.

Traders were also eyeing news that big oil producers are increasing output. Russian oil output hit a record high in August, nearing 10 million barrels per day as the country launched a new giant field.

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Ibrahim bin Ramli@Nuang started his career with CIMB Wealth Advisors Berhad as Agency Manager in April, 2008.Previously he was an Internal Auditors and Accounts Executive with Perodua Sales Sdn Bhd since 17 August, 1994. His background:- 1.Certified of Achievement for Master Sales Leadership from Dr Lawrence Walter Ng of President of The Art Of Learning and International Of Learning Without Learning 2.Certified for eXtra Ordinary Performance of Lawrence Walter Award Certificate for One Million Ringgit Club 2007 3. Certified Life & General insurances 4. Conferred with Diploma in Business Studiess & Bachelor of Business Admin(Hons)Finance from UiTM, Terengganu Branch & Shah Alam respectively;

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